A player that is on the “bubble” is someone who has just played his first two AFL games for the current season. After that player completes their third game, they will have their first price rise/decline. Knowing which players are on the bubble allows you to pick players who are about to have a price rise and generate some cash. The weekly ‘Bubble Boys’ article will be released every Monday. It will give you insight into the best bubble boy options and hopefully give you a better chance at making some cash.
THE ROOKIE ROUND UP
Jay Lockhart DEF/MID $102,400k AVG 44.5 – A tough start for Lockhart on debut only mustering up 32 supercoach points from 6 touches, he showed a bit more this weekend against Essendon scoring 57 from 14 disposals. He’s at base price so if you’re desperate for someone to downgrade too and free up some cash he’s a viable option. Job security worries me there’s a fair chance Melbourne could go for something different again this weekend, Lockhart could be one who misses out so be careful and leave this trade till after selections are done on Thursday if you’re going to do it. Lockhart’s breakeven is -29 but his low scores mean hes only projected to rise around 30k so if you’re picking him up don’t expect a quick return.
Corey Wagner MID $123,900k AVG 63.0 – Wagner played round 1 missed round 2 and then played again in round 3, putting up scores of 61 and 65. You can’t complain about scores like that from a rookie and you’re more than happy if he keeps putting out mid 60s because he’s going to keep generating you cash. But again, the question begs with these Melbourne rookies, how many games are they going to play? If you need to make a downgrade this week for whatever reason and Wagner is named, go for it. However, if you have the option of waiting till next week you might be able to grab Sydney Stack on the bubble, Richmond’s $102,400k MID who put out 108 Supercoach points on the weekend. Watch out for Stack this weekend because he might be an absolute lock if he puts out another decent score.
Noah Balta FWD $123,900k AVG 24.5 – With an average this low in his first two games it doesn’t look like Balta will be making much cash at all if any. That is if he’s even named in round 4. If you don’t have Balta I wouldn’t be bringing him in and if there’s a forward rookie you want to replace Balta with I don’t think it’s a bad idea at all.
Taryn Thomas MID $175,800k AVG 41.5 - On the more expensive side as far as rookies come and so far has not scored accordingly with the price tag, two lackluster scores of 46 and 37. Not much more to say about Thomas, probably wouldn't be bringing him if he was base price so won't be touching him at $175k unless he can start putting out some big scores.
WAIT AND SEE
Darcy Parish MID/FWD $436,100 AVG 93.0 – Dropped for the first game of the year and worked his way back into the side for round 2 and 3. Put out a score of 74 followed by 112 in their win against Melbourne looks to have reclaimed his spot in the side. One of those players that you think needs to take his game to the next level if Essendon are to be a top side. Breakeven of 70 for Parish and he is at an in between price. I would be staying clear and waiting at least another week or two to see if he can produce some consistent large scores. There’s no rush to get him if he was on your watchlist as his price will stay around that 450k mark for a little bit. Could be one to watch out for later on, but not worth risking your season for at this point in time.
FOR THE BOYS WITH BIG BRAVADO
Rowan Marshall FWD $341,100k AVG 112.5 – After missing round 1 Marshall has come out and scored 114 and 111 in his first two games for the year. He’s had 21 and 40 hit outs respectively and has cemented his role as St Kilda’s number one ruckman. The big man has flown under the radar a bit and with a breakeven of -24 he’s not a bad option. You could argue that he hasn’t really come up against one of the better ruckman yet, but he seems to be doing enough around the ground averaging 15.5 touches and 7 tackles to keep his scoring right up there. Be careful though he does have big boy McEvoy next week and then Gawn the week after. For those of you looking to sideways Toby Greene, this man is definitely an option and will be making some nice cash in the next couple of weeks. Marshall is a massive POD and is only selected in 0.5% of teams, I don’t think I’d have the kahunas to bring him in but credit to anyone who does because if it pays off you will be flying.